Consumers are spending and corporate America is recording a profit, and the stock market is rallying into the end of the week, primarily because the insurance portfolio managers need (puts or ETF short positions or a sector short to offset) have been going up everyday since Monday and must be pared back before we go into the weekend, plus you have new entrants into the market (mostly retail investors) who believe the market has made a bottom.
The reason it’s a Happy Friday is because as MegaCap stocks go out of favor and decline in pricing – Small Stocks will need to be funded during this liquidity glut, this creates opportunity for the small investor because from his home computer or handheld device he will be the liquidity backbone for small companies.
You also have Team POTUS (Obama, President of the United States, a secret service term) signing new legislation into law to protect the retail investors from the Evil House of Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), who believe POTUS and start buying for their 401-K’s. This is all great except for one thing. The deficit in the US created by TARP and the bailout and HealthCare, and the weight of regulation on the Financial Sector will cause the dollar the become a second class currency versus a flight to quality and change the economic balance of power to a more level global playing field.
So for America the short term rally in the market is one of the final rally’s for US stocks as we head into a different era. I dont have a crystal ball to have the specifics about how and who and where, but this rally in the market into the 2nd half of 2010 is one that should be sold.
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